Deafening Silence

Roy Spencer and colleagues published a study in the Geophysical Research Letters. The results of the study had huge implications for the whole idea of man made global warming. (see previous entry) In a recent article, quoted in part below, Spencer expressed his amazement at the lack of interest in his game changing research. A search of the internet indicates that the "absolute silence" reported by Spencer is indeed true except for some obscure news sources and a few blogs. Talk to the Green is waiting for the day when the silence is broken.

                        This space reserved to report when the silence is broken.

After 7 months the silence was broken in Australia by ABC Radio National. The text of the interview follows. Report is dated March 22,2008.

Duffy: "Can you tell us about NASA’s Aqua satellite, because I understand some of the data we’re now getting is quite important in our understanding of how climate works?"

Marohasy: "That’s right. The satellite was only launched in 2002 and it enabled the collection of data, not just on temperature but also on cloud formation and water vapour. What all the climate models suggest is that, when you’ve got warming from additional carbon dioxide, this will result in increased water vapour, so you’re going to get a positive feedback. That’s what the models have been indicating. What this great data from the NASA Aqua satellite … (is) actually showing is just the opposite, that with a little bit of warming, weather processes are compensating, so they’re actually limiting the greenhouse effect and you’re getting a negative rather than a positive feedback."

Duffy: "The climate is actually, in one way anyway, more robust than was assumed in the climate models?"

Marohasy: "That’s right … These findings actually aren’t being disputed by the meteorological community. They’re having trouble digesting the findings, they’re acknowledging the findings, they’re acknowledging that the data from NASA’s Aqua satellite is not how the models predict, and I think they’re about to recognise that the models really do need to be overhauled and that when they are overhauled they will probably show greatly reduced future warming projected as a consequence of carbon dioxide."

Duffy: "From what you’re saying, it sounds like the implications of this could be considerable …"

Marohasy: "That’s right, very much so. The policy implications are enormous. The meteorological community at the moment is really just coming to terms with the output from this NASA Aqua satellite and (climate scientist) Roy Spencer’s interpretation of them. His work is published, his work is accepted, but I think people are still in shock at this point."

The reporter quoting the interview gives an ominous prediction of the outcome of "the broken silence".

If Marohasy is anywhere near right about the impending collapse of the global warming paradigm, life will suddenly become a whole lot more interesting.

A great many founts of authority, from the Royal Society to the UN, most heads of government along with countless captains of industry, learned professors, commentators and journalists will be profoundly embarrassed. Let us hope it is a prolonged and chastening experience.

Well, Roy Spencer, the period of "absolute silence" is over. The following is Spencer’s original take on the lack of response to his work.

While climate change used to be natural, apparently now it is entirely manmade. But a few of us out there in the climate research community are rattling our cages. In the August 2007 Geophysical Research Letters, my colleagues and I published some satellite evidence for a natural cooling mechanism in the tropics that was not thought to exist. Called the “Infrared Iris” effect, it was originally hypothesized by Prof. Richard Lindzen at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

By analyzing six years of data from a variety of satellites and satellite sensors, we found that when the tropical atmosphere heats up due to enhanced rainfall activity, the rain systems there produce less cirrus cloudiness, allowing more infrared energy to escape to space. The combination of enhanced solar reflection and infrared cooling by the rain systems was so strong that, if such a mechanism is acting upon the warming tendency from increasing carbon dioxide, it will reduce manmade global warming by the end of this century to a small fraction of a degree. Our results suggest a “low sensitivity” for the climate system.

What, you might wonder, has been the media and science community response to our work? Absolute silence. No doubt the few scientists who are aware of it consider it interesting, but not relevant to global warming. You see, only the evidence that supports the theory of manmade global warming is relevant these days.


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One Response to Deafening Silence

  1. D says:

    Great report!
    I don\’t want to get my hopes up for any significant change in public opinion however (at least to the broader idea that science — read materialism — is noble and and humankind is ignoble).  I\’m reminded of Lewis\’s Last Battle:  \’We have this Ass to show them.  Let them see the thing they feared and bowed to.  We can show them the truth of the Ape\’s vile plot.  His secret\’s out.  The tide\’s turned."
    Unfortunately the response was largely, "The Dwarfs are for the Dwarfs."

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